Free Football Predictions – Accurate Tips & Odds

Friday, April 10, 2026
243 matches today 100+ leagues 🎯 48% accuracy (64/132)

Browse today's football predictions, match odds, confidence ratings, and key stats across major leagues. Save fixtures with the ☆ star and view them later on My Selection.

France flag France : Ligue 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Paris FC Monaco 10/04/2026 17:00
3.70
3.55
1.92
2 75%
Ov2.5
4-1 (3-1)
Marseille Metz 10/04/2026 19:05
1.24
5.75
10.75
1 80%
Un3.5
?-?
Germany flag Germany : Bundesliga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
FC Augsburg 1899 Hoffenheim 10/04/2026 18:30
3.35
3.65
2.00
2 60%
Un3.5
2-0 (2-0)
Italy flag Italy : Serie A
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
AS Roma Pisa 10/04/2026 18:45
1.33
4.70
9.80
1 80%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Belgium flag Belgium : Jupiler Pro League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Charleroi Antwerp 10/04/2026 18:45
1.85
3.45
4.20
1 70%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
England flag England : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
West Ham Wolves 10/04/2026 19:00
1.83
3.60
4.10
1 80%
Ov2.5
?-?
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Real Madrid Girona 10/04/2026 19:00
1.32
5.50
7.70
1 80%
Ov2.5
?-?
Africa : CAF Confederation Cup
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
CR Belouizdad Zamalek SC 10/04/2026 19:00
2.15
3.00
3.30
1 55%
Un2.5
?-?
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Famalicao Moreirense 10/04/2026 19:45
1.51
3.85
6.75
1 80%
Un2.5
?-?
Argentina flag Argentina : Copa Argentina
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Gimnasia L.P. Deportivo Camioneros 10/04/2026 00:00
1.41
3.90
9.80
1 75%
Un1.5
4-1 (2-1)
Ecuador flag Ecuador : Liga Pro Serie B
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors Ind. Juniors 10/04/2026 00:00
2.00
3.20
3.30
1 55%
Un1.5
2-1 (1-1)
South America : CONMEBOL Libertadores
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Platense Corinthians 10/04/2026 00:00
2.88
2.78
2.76
X 80%
Un1.5
0-2 (0-0)
Santa Fe Penarol 10/04/2026 02:00
2.12
3.05
3.70
X 80%
Un1.5
1-1 (1-0)
South America : CONMEBOL Sudamericana
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Carabobo FC RB Bragantino 10/04/2026 00:30
3.30
3.15
2.22
X 80%
Un1.5
1-0 (1-0)
Macara America de Cali 10/04/2026 00:30
3.65
2.90
2.22
2 55%
Un2.5
1-1 (1-1)
Nicaragua flag Nicaragua : Primera Division
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Walter Ferretti Rancho Santana 10/04/2026 01:00
1.25
5.10
9.25
1 75%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Honduras flag Honduras : Liga Nacional
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
CD Marathon CD Motagua 10/04/2026 01:30
3.10
3.20
2.15
2 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (1-0)
China flag China : League Two
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Shanghai Port II Dalian Kewei 10/04/2026 07:30
2.80
2.90
2.30
1 60%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Tai'an Tiankuang BIT 10/04/2026 07:30
1.30
4.20
8.75
1 75%
Un3.5
2-1 (0-0)
Guangzhou Dandelion Jiangxi Liansheng 10/04/2026 08:00
2.05
3.00
3.40
1 55%
Un2.5
2-1 (2-1)
Xiamen Feilu Guangdong Mingtu 10/04/2026 08:00
1.62
3.10
5.00
1 80%
Ov1.5
3-3 (2-2)
Shangyu Pterosaur Yichun Grand Tiger 10/04/2026 11:30
3.00
2.75
2.30
1 55%
Un1.5
1-1 (0-1)
Nantong Haimen Codion Changchun Xidu 10/04/2026 11:30
1.60
3.25
5.00
1 80%
Un1.5
4-0 (2-0)
Russia flag Russia : Youth Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Ural U20 Krasnodar U19 10/04/2026 08:00
9.90
5.45
1.21
2 70%
Ov3.5
0-2 (0-1)
Zenit U19 Akademiya Konoplev U20 10/04/2026 10:00
1.07
8.40
18.25
1 80%
Ov3.5
3-0 (2-0)
Nizhny Novgorod U19 Dinamo Moskva U19 10/04/2026 12:00
4.00
4.20
1.61
2 70%
Ov3.5
0-2 (0-1)
Lokomotiv Moskva U19 CSKA Moskva U19 10/04/2026 14:00
2.25
3.16
2.86
1 55%
Ov3.5
4-4 (2-2)
Romania flag Romania : Liga II
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
CS Afumati CSM Reşiţa 10/04/2026 08:00
2.90
3.20
2.25
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-1 (1-1)
Concordia Tunari 10/04/2026 08:00
1.55
3.80
5.25
1 80%
Ov2.5
1-1 (0-1)
Dumbrăviţa Viitorul Şelimbăr 10/04/2026 08:00
2.55
3.20
2.55
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Slatina Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 10/04/2026 08:00
1.22
5.00
13.00
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-1 (1-0)
FC Bacau CSM Satu Mare 10/04/2026 08:00
1.67
3.60
4.50
1 80%
Ov2.5
1-3 (1-1)
Metalul Buzău Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 10/04/2026 08:00
1.06
8.60
26.00
1 85%
Un3.5
1-0 (0-0)
Politehnica Iasi ASA Targu Mures 10/04/2026 08:00
2.55
3.20
2.55
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-0)
Chindia Targoviste Bihor Oradea 10/04/2026 10:30
2.25
3.20
3.00
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-3 (1-1)
FC Voluntari Corvinul Hunedoara 10/04/2026 13:00
2.60
3.10
2.60
2 55%
Un2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Indonesia flag Indonesia : Liga 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
PSIM Yogyakarta PSM Makassar 10/04/2026 08:30
2.05
3.30
3.20
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-2 (0-0)
Persita Arema FC 10/04/2026 12:00
2.10
3.25
3.20
1 60%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-0)
Vietnam flag Vietnam : V.League 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hồ Chí Minh II PVF-CAND 10/04/2026 10:00
4.75
3.40
1.62
2 80%
Ov2.5
0-3 (0-1)
Australia flag Australia : Victoria NPL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
St. Albans Saints Avondale 10/04/2026 09:30
4.40
3.95
1.62
2 75%
Ov2.5
2-3 (0-2)
Australia flag Australia : Queensland NPL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
WDSC Wolves Lions 10/04/2026 09:30
3.20
4.00
1.85
2 85%
Ov3.5
0-5 (0-2)
Gold Coast Knights Rochedale Rovers 10/04/2026 09:30
1.57
4.40
4.10
1 70%
Ov3.5
1-1 (0-1)
Australia flag Australia : A League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Central Coast Mariners Brisbane Roar 10/04/2026 09:35
2.86
3.50
2.30
2 55%
Ov2.5
2-2 (0-1)
Ukraine flag Ukraine : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
SK Poltava Polessya 10/04/2026 10:00
23.00
6.80
1.10
2 70%
Ov2.5
0-4 (0-3)
Ruh Lviv Kolos Kovalivka 10/04/2026 15:00
3.85
2.80
2.05
2 55%
Un2.5
1-1 (0-0)
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria : First League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Spartak Varna Dobrudzha 10/04/2026 10:00
3.10
3.10
2.25
2 55%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
CSKA 1948 Botev Vratsa 10/04/2026 12:30
1.60
3.60
5.10
1 75%
Un2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Slavia Sofia Septemvri Sofia 10/04/2026 15:00
1.70
3.40
4.50
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-2 (1-1)
Portugal flag Portugal : Júniores U19
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Rio Ave U19 Porto U19 10/04/2026 10:00
5.00
4.00
1.50
2 70%
Ov3.5
0-4 (0-1)
Australia flag Australia : New South Wales NPL 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Prospect United Inter Lions 10/04/2026 10:00
2.05
3.40
2.80
1 60%
Un3.5
1-1 (0-0)
Blacktown Spartans Northern Tigers 10/04/2026 10:15
2.25
3.75
2.45
1 55%
Un3.5
3-2 (1-2)
Australia flag Australia : South Australia State League 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Adelaide Raiders Cumberland United 10/04/2026 10:00
2.25
3.30
2.60
1 55%
Ov3.5
0-1 (0-0)
South-Korea flag South-Korea : WK League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Gyeongju Gumi Sportstoto 10/04/2026 10:00
2.00
2.90
3.40
1 60%
Ov1.5
1-2 (1-1)
Incheon Red Angels Seoul 10/04/2026 10:00
2.10
3.20
3.00
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Suwon FMC Hwacheon KSPO 10/04/2026 10:00
3.40
3.20
1.91
2 70%
Ov2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Australia flag Australia : Tasmania NPL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Launceston United Launceston City 10/04/2026 10:15
20.00
9.00
1.04
2 70%
Ov3.5
1-7 (0-6)
Australia flag Australia : Tasmania Southern Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Olympia Warriors New Town 10/04/2026 10:15
4.75
5.25
1.40
2 70%
Ov3.5
?-?
Australia flag Australia : Victoria NPL 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Brunswick Juventus FC Langwarrin 10/04/2026 10:30
1.53
4.20
4.33
1 80%
Un3.5
3-0 (0-0)
Australia flag Australia : Queensland Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Capalaba Redlands United 10/04/2026 10:30
4.33
4.33
1.57
2 80%
Un3.5
2-1 (0-1)
India flag India : I League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Namdhari Shillong Lajong 10/04/2026 10:30
2.15
3.30
2.80
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-2 (0-0)
England flag England : Professional Development League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Swansea City U21 Watford U21 10/04/2026 11:00
1.85
4.20
3.00
1 75%
Ov3.5
2-2 (1-1)
Sheffield Wednesday U21 Cardiff City U21 10/04/2026 11:00
2.60
3.60
2.20
2 55%
Ov3.5
1-2 (0-1)
Barnsley U21 Colchester United U21 10/04/2026 12:00
1.44
4.60
4.60
1 70%
Ov3.5
4-0 (2-0)
Queens Park Rangers U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 10/04/2026 12:30
2.88
4.00
1.91
2 80%
Ov3.5
5-2 (3-1)
Australia flag Australia : South Australia NPL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
West Torrens Birkalla MetroStars 10/04/2026 11:00
3.10
3.60
1.91
2 80%
Ov3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Kenya flag Kenya : Super League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
MOFA Luanda Villa 10/04/2026 11:00
1.50
3.50
6.00
1 80%
Ov1.5
1-1 (0-0)
Singapore flag Singapore : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Tanjong Pagar Young Lions 10/04/2026 11:30
2.50
3.35
2.45
1 55%
Ov3.5
0-1 (0-1)
Azerbaidjan flag Azerbaidjan : Premyer Liqa
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Karvan Kapaz 10/04/2026 11:30
2.70
3.00
2.35
2 55%
Ov2.5
4-1 (2-0)
India flag India : Indian Super League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
NorthEast United SC Delhi 10/04/2026 11:30
1.85
3.30
3.95
1 70%
Ov2.5
0-3 (0-0)
Goa Odisha 10/04/2026 14:00
1.53
3.80
5.60
1 70%
Un2.5
3-1 (0-0)
Armenia flag Armenia : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Van FC Urartu 10/04/2026 11:30
3.85
3.50
1.80
2 75%
Ov2.5
1-2 (0-0)
Gandzasar FC Noah 10/04/2026 15:00
7.50
4.40
1.35
2 75%
Un2.5
0-3 (0-1)
China flag China : Super League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Dalian Zhixing Hangzhou Greentown 10/04/2026 11:35
2.55
3.55
2.40
1 55%
Un3.5
3-0 (1-0)
Israel flag Israel : Liga Leumit
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Kiryat Yam SC Maccabi Petah Tikva 10/04/2026 12:00
4.50
3.80
1.64
2 80%
Ov2.5
2-2 (0-2)
Ironi Modi'in Hapoel Ramat Gan 10/04/2026 12:00
3.50
3.25
1.95
2 75%
Ov2.5
2-3 (0-2)
Hapoel Kfar Saba Kafr Qasim 10/04/2026 12:00
1.95
3.35
3.40
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Hapoel Hadera 10/04/2026 12:00
1.85
3.45
3.65
1 80%
Ov2.5
3-2 (1-0)
Hapoel Rishon LeZion Hapoel Acre 10/04/2026 12:00
2.05
3.40
3.20
1 60%
Un2.5
3-1 (1-0)
Hapoel Ra'anana Hapoel Afula 10/04/2026 12:00
2.25
3.10
3.10
1 55%
Un2.5
1-1 (0-0)
Maccabi Herzliya Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 10/04/2026 12:00
2.38
3.35
2.62
2 55%
Un3.5
3-1 (2-0)
Poland flag Poland : III Liga Group 3
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Górnik Zabrze II Warta Gorzów 10/04/2026 12:00
1.90
3.80
3.10
1 80%
Un3.5
3-1 (2-0)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Pawłowice Śląskie 10/04/2026 16:00
1.20
5.75
9.00
1 80%
Un3.5
1-1 (0-1)
Polonia Nysa Zagłębie Lubin II 10/04/2026 17:00
3.60
3.90
1.73
2 75%
Ov3.5
2-4 (1-3)
Ethiopia flag Ethiopia : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Bahardar Adama Kenema 10/04/2026 12:00
2.15
2.70
3.40
1 55%
Ov1.5
2-1 (1-1)
Sidama Bunna Mekelakeya 10/04/2026 13:00
2.50
2.50
2.90
1 55%
Ov1.5
1-3 (1-1)
Malaysia flag Malaysia : Super League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Kelantan United Kuala Lumpur FA 10/04/2026 13:00
8.75
4.33
1.33
2 70%
Ov2.5
0-2 (0-1)
Egypt flag Egypt : Second League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Tersana Raya Ghazl 10/04/2026 13:00
1.85
2.62
5.00
1 75%
Ov1.5
1-0 (0-0)
Belarus flag Belarus : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Naftan FC Gomel 10/04/2026 13:00
3.10
3.00
2.15
2 55%
Ov1.5
0-2 (0-1)
Belshina FC Dnepr Mogilev 10/04/2026 15:00
2.90
2.90
2.30
2 55%
Un1.5
1-2 (0-0)
FC Minsk Neman 10/04/2026 17:00
3.30
2.90
2.10
2 55%
Ov1.5
0-1 (0-0)
Oman flag Oman : Professional League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Al Nasr Al-Khabourah 10/04/2026 13:55
1.85
3.30
3.90
1 75%
Un2.5
2-0 (0-0)
Smail Al-Shabab 10/04/2026 15:00
4.60
3.30
1.73
2 85%
Ov2.5
0-7 (0-4)
Saham Al Seeb 10/04/2026 16:20
9.20
4.75
1.28
2 75%
Ov2.5
0-2 (0-1)
United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates : Pro League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Baniyas SC Sharjah FC 10/04/2026 13:55
2.98
3.30
2.20
2 55%
Ov2.5
1-1 (0-1)
Al Ain Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 10/04/2026 16:30
2.74
2.98
2.58
2 55%
Ov2.5
3-2 (1-0)
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria : Second League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Ludogorets II FK Minyor Pernik 10/04/2026 14:00
1.75
3.40
3.90
1 75%
Un2.5
4-2 (3-1)
Marek Vihren 10/04/2026 14:00
2.50
3.00
2.60
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Algeria flag Algeria : Ligue 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
CR Béni Thour USM Annaba 10/04/2026 14:00
4.20
3.25
1.75
2 70%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
JS Jijel JS Bordj Ménaïel 10/04/2026 14:00
1.53
3.50
5.75
1 85%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
GC Mascara RC Arba 10/04/2026 14:00
1.80
3.10
4.10
1 75%
Un2.5
2-1 (0-0)
IB Khémis El Khechna MSP Batna 10/04/2026 14:00
2.40
3.00
2.70
1 55%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
MO Bejaia US Chaouia 10/04/2026 14:00
1.80
3.25
4.00
1 80%
Un2.5
1-0 (0-0)
MO Constantine Nrb Beni Oulbene 10/04/2026 14:00
1.30
4.10
9.50
1 80%
Ov1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Romania flag Romania : Liga III Serie 4
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Voința Crevedia Baicoi 10/04/2026 14:00
1.90
3.60
3.25
1 70%
Ov2.5
3-0 (0-0)
Tunisia flag Tunisia : Ligue 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
AS Gabes US Ben Guerdane 10/04/2026 14:00
2.50
2.70
3.00
1 55%
Ov1.5
0-1 (0-0)
JS Kairouanaise Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 10/04/2026 14:00
2.85
2.80
2.55
2 55%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Slovakia flag Slovakia : 3. Liga East
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
MSK Tesla Stropkov Snina 10/04/2026 14:30
1.57
4.00
4.33
1 75%
Ov2.5
2-1 (0-1)
Croatia flag Croatia : First NL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Opatija Rudes 10/04/2026 14:30
2.75
2.90
2.30
2 55%
Un2.5
1-1 (0-0)
Karlovac 1919 Bsk Bijelo Brdo 10/04/2026 16:00
2.20
2.75
3.30
1 55%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Croatia flag Croatia : Second NL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hrvatski Dragovoljac Solin 10/04/2026 14:30
2.45
3.40
2.40
2 55%
Ov2.5
6-0 (3-0)
Czech-Republic flag Czech-Republic : FNL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Chrudim Slavia Praha II 10/04/2026 15:00
2.80
3.40
2.20
2 55%
Ov2.5
6-1 (3-0)
Příbram Hanácká 10/04/2026 16:00
1.95
3.45
3.30
1 75%
Un2.5
0-2 (0-2)
České Budějovice Ústí nad Labem 10/04/2026 16:00
2.63
3.25
2.35
2 55%
Ov2.5
1-2 (1-1)
Prostějov Baník Ostrava II 10/04/2026 16:00
2.90
3.15
2.20
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-3 (0-1)
Táborsko Sparta Praha II 10/04/2026 16:00
1.48
3.85
6.00
1 85%
Ov2.5
1-1 (0-0)
Slovenia flag Slovenia : 2. SNL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Beltinci Krško 10/04/2026 15:00
1.20
5.40
13.00
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-1 (0-1)
Brinje-Grosuplje Gorica 10/04/2026 17:00
1.22
4.80
13.00
1 80%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Slovakia flag Slovakia : 2. Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Pohronie Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 10/04/2026 15:00
1.67
3.60
4.00
1 80%
Ov2.5
1-2 (0-2)
Finland flag Finland : Veikkausliiga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Turku PS Lahti 10/04/2026 15:00
3.25
3.25
2.12
2 55%
Ov1.5
2-1 (1-0)
SJK Mariehamn 10/04/2026 16:00
1.65
3.45
5.20
1 75%
Ov2.5
3-0 (1-0)
VPS FF Jaro 10/04/2026 17:00
1.92
3.60
3.40
1 75%
Un1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX U21
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Juarez U21 Club Tijuana U21 10/04/2026 15:00
1.83
3.40
3.80
1 80%
Ov2.5
0-3 (0-1)
Algeria flag Algeria : Ligue 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Ben Aknoun ASO Chlef 10/04/2026 15:00
2.20
2.95
3.25
1 55%
Un2.5
2-1 (2-0)
Mostaganem Khenchela 10/04/2026 15:00
2.33
3.20
2.80
2 55%
Un2.5
0-3 (0-2)
JS Kabylie CS Constantine 10/04/2026 16:45
1.68
3.00
5.80
1 80%
Ov1.5
2-2 (1-0)
Slovenia flag Slovenia : 1. SNL
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Primorje Koper 10/04/2026 15:30
3.75
3.65
1.82
2 75%
Un3.5
0-4 (0-2)
Finland flag Finland : Ykkösliiga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
JäPS Klubi-04 10/04/2026 15:30
2.20
3.40
2.62
1 55%
Ov1.5
1-0 (1-0)
Kooteepee MP 10/04/2026 15:30
1.35
4.80
6.75
1 80%
Un1.5
1-0 (0-0)
KäPa SJK Akatemia 10/04/2026 16:00
2.05
3.80
2.90
1 55%
Un2.5
2-2 (2-0)
Finland flag Finland : Ykkönen
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
KuPS Akatemia JJK 10/04/2026 15:30
3.10
3.60
1.95
2 80%
Ov3.5
1-2 (0-0)
Hungary flag Hungary : NB I
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Puskas Academy Gyori ETO FC 10/04/2026 15:45
3.45
3.50
1.94
2 75%
Ov2.5
1-4 (0-1)
Ferencvarosi TC Diosgyori VTK 10/04/2026 18:00
1.21
5.50
12.00
1 75%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Poland flag Poland : Ekstraklasa
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Wisla Plock Lechia Gdansk 10/04/2026 16:00
2.65
3.45
2.48
2 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Korona Kielce Jagiellonia 10/04/2026 18:30
2.62
3.55
2.46
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Poland flag Poland : I Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Polonia Warszawa Slask Wroclaw 10/04/2026 16:00
2.30
3.25
2.70
2 55%
Un3.5
0-4 (0-1)
Odra Opole Puszcza Niepołomice 10/04/2026 18:30
2.30
2.88
3.00
2 55%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Austria flag Austria : 2. Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
SKU Amstetten Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 10/04/2026 16:00
1.55
4.10
5.00
1 70%
Ov2.5
2-3 (0-1)
Rapid Wien II WSPG Wels 10/04/2026 16:00
2.85
3.30
2.30
2 55%
Ov2.5
1-4 (1-1)
Austria Klagenfurt SV Kapfenberg 10/04/2026 16:00
2.55
3.35
2.55
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Austria Lustenau SKN ST. Polten 10/04/2026 18:30
3.35
2.70
2.38
2 55%
Ov2.5
2-0 (2-0)
Poland flag Poland : II Liga East
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Chojniczanka Chojnice Świt Skolwin 10/04/2026 16:00
1.83
3.40
3.50
1 70%
Un3.5
2-1 (1-1)
Romania flag Romania : Liga I
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
AFC Hermannstadt Farul Constanta 10/04/2026 16:00
2.18
3.20
3.15
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Denmark flag Denmark : 1. Division
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hobro Aalborg 10/04/2026 16:00
2.58
3.35
2.46
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-1)
HB Koge Middelfart 10/04/2026 16:30
1.71
3.65
4.33
1 70%
Un3.5
2-0 (0-0)
Esbjerg Hvidovre 10/04/2026 17:00
2.58
3.25
2.54
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Bosnia flag Bosnia : Premijer Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Posušje Siroki Brijeg 10/04/2026 16:00
2.40
2.90
2.80
2 55%
Un2.5
2-0 (1-0)
Rudar Prijedor Borac Banja Luka 10/04/2026 18:30
9.00
4.00
1.35
2 70%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia : Division 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Al Orubah Al-Faisaly FC 10/04/2026 16:20
2.85
3.35
2.20
2 55%
Un3.5
0-1 (0-0)
Germany flag Germany : 2. Bundesliga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Fortuna Düsseldorf Holstein Kiel 10/04/2026 16:30
2.00
3.70
3.40
1 55%
Ov2.5
1-2 (0-0)
Karlsruher SC Arminia Bielefeld 10/04/2026 16:30
2.90
3.70
2.20
1 55%
Un3.5
4-1 (1-1)
Lithuania flag Lithuania : A Lyga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
FK Trakai FK Zalgiris Vilnius 10/04/2026 16:30
13.00
5.40
1.20
2 70%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Russia flag Russia : First League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
KAMAZ FK Neftekhimik 10/04/2026 16:30
2.13
2.99
3.64
1 55%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Mauritania flag Mauritania : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Nouadhibou Ksar 10/04/2026 16:45
1.28
4.50
8.50
1 80%
Un2.5
5-0 (1-0)
Germany flag Germany : 3. Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hoffenheim II FC Schweinfurt 05 10/04/2026 17:00
1.48
4.75
5.75
1 70%
Un3.5
1-1 (0-1)
Turkey flag Turkey : Süper Lig
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Beşiktaş Antalyaspor 10/04/2026 17:00
1.28
5.50
9.20
1 80%
Ov2.5
4-2 (3-1)
Austria flag Austria : Regionalliga Mitte
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
SV Lafnitz Gleisdorf 09 10/04/2026 17:00
1.60
4.20
3.90
1 75%
Ov3.5
2-0 (0-0)
Treibach Velden 10/04/2026 17:00
2.75
4.00
2.00
2 65%
Un3.5
2-0 (1-0)
Germany flag Germany : Regionalliga Nordost
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hallescher FC Altglienicke 10/04/2026 17:00
1.68
3.75
4.10
1 70%
Ov2.5
1-3 (1-1)
Magdeburg II ZFC Meuselwitz 10/04/2026 17:00
1.85
3.65
3.50
1 75%
Un3.5
2-1 (1-0)
Germany flag Germany : Regionalliga Nord
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
BW Lohne SSV Jeddeloh 10/04/2026 17:00
5.25
4.50
1.45
2 75%
Un3.5
0-1 (0-1)
SV DrochtersenAssel VfB Oldenburg 10/04/2026 17:30
2.00
4.00
2.75
1 60%
Ov3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Germany flag Germany : Regionalliga Bayern
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Wacker Burghausen Bayreuth 10/04/2026 17:00
1.83
3.75
3.50
1 70%
Ov2.5
1-1 (1-1)
Würzburger Kickers Bayern München II 10/04/2026 17:00
1.62
3.70
4.75
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-1 (0-0)
Illertissen Nürnberg II 10/04/2026 17:00
2.25
3.60
2.65
1 55%
Un3.5
1-1 (0-0)
Germany flag Germany : Regionalliga SudWest
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Schott Mainz 10/04/2026 17:00
1.15
6.40
12.00
1 75%
Ov3.5
2-1 (1-0)
TSV Steinbach SV Sandhausen 10/04/2026 17:00
2.00
4.00
2.88
1 55%
Ov3.5
2-2 (2-0)
Poland flag Poland : III Liga Group 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Warta Sieradz Troszyn 10/04/2026 17:00
1.85
3.75
3.20
1 70%
Un3.5
1-2 (1-2)
Austria flag Austria : Regionalliga Ost
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Retz 10/04/2026 17:00
1.36
4.75
6.00
1 75%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Parndorf Traiskirchen 10/04/2026 17:00
1.73
3.75
3.75
1 75%
Ov2.5
2-0 (0-0)
SV Horn Favoritner AC 10/04/2026 17:30
1.60
4.00
4.20
1 75%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Oberwart Leobendorf 10/04/2026 17:30
2.30
3.60
2.50
2 60%
Ov2.5
3-0 (3-0)
Krems Rehberg Wiener Viktoria 10/04/2026 17:30
1.53
4.00
4.75
1 80%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Donau Gloggnitz 10/04/2026 17:30
2.40
3.60
2.40
1 55%
Ov1.5
2-3 (1-3)
TWL Elektra Union Mauer 10/04/2026 17:30
4.20
4.00
1.60
2 75%
Un2.5
?-?
Wiener SC Fach-Donaufeld 10/04/2026 17:30
2.70
3.75
2.10
2 60%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Spain flag Spain : Primera División RFEF Group 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Atlético Madrid II Marbella 10/04/2026 17:00
1.44
3.80
6.25
1 75%
Un2.5
5-3 (1-2)
Sweden flag Sweden : Division 2 Västra Götaland
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Landvetter IS Onsala 10/04/2026 17:00
2.35
3.80
2.35
1 55%
Ov3.5
1-0 (0-0)
Kongahälla Torslanda 10/04/2026 17:00
2.60
3.50
2.25
1 55%
Un2.5
2-2 (1-2)
Denmark flag Denmark : Superliga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Aarhus FC Nordsjaelland 10/04/2026 17:00
1.68
3.90
4.60
1 75%
Un3.5
1-1 (0-1)
Malta flag Malta : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Sliema Wanderers Hibernians 10/04/2026 17:00
2.15
3.25
3.10
1 60%
Ov2.5
1-1 (1-1)
France flag France : National 2 Group B
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Wasquehal Epinal 10/04/2026 17:00
2.55
3.10
2.45
2 60%
Un2.5
2-1 (2-0)
Germany flag Germany : Regionalliga West
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Bochum II Wuppertaler SV 10/04/2026 17:30
1.68
3.75
4.20
1 80%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
France flag France : National 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Chateauroux Quevilly 10/04/2026 17:30
2.00
3.10
3.60
1 55%
Un2.5
2-3 (2-3)
Dijon Bourg-en-bresse 01 10/04/2026 17:30
1.36
4.00
8.80
1 70%
Un2.5
2-0 (1-0)
Le Puy Foot Aubagne 10/04/2026 17:30
1.73
3.25
4.20
1 70%
Ov2.5
1-1 (1-1)
Orleans Concarneau 10/04/2026 17:30
1.85
3.20
4.10
1 75%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Gobelins Caen 10/04/2026 17:30
3.35
2.55
2.45
2 55%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Sochaux Fleury 91 10/04/2026 17:30
1.73
3.40
4.50
1 70%
Un2.5
1-1 (1-0)
Stade Briochin Villefranche 10/04/2026 17:30
2.33
3.00
2.95
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Valenciennes Versailles 10/04/2026 17:30
2.15
3.10
3.25
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
France flag France : National 2 Group C
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Fréjus St-Raphaël Limonest 10/04/2026 17:30
1.85
3.30
3.60
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-3 (1-2)
South-Africa flag South-Africa : Premier Soccer League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Richards Bay Orlando Pirates 10/04/2026 17:30
8.00
3.95
1.44
2 75%
Un2.5
2-1 (1-0)
Switzerland flag Switzerland : Challenge League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Neuchatel Xamax FC Stade Nyonnais 10/04/2026 17:30
1.83
3.50
3.60
1 70%
Ov2.5
2-1 (2-1)
Étoile Carouge Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 10/04/2026 18:15
2.70
3.50
2.20
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Yverdon Sport FC Vaduz 10/04/2026 18:15
2.80
3.40
2.15
2 55%
Un3.5
1-1 (1-1)
Austria flag Austria : Bundesliga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Red Bull Salzburg Lask Linz 10/04/2026 17:30
1.75
3.90
4.20
1 75%
Ov2.5
1-2 (1-1)
Portugal flag Portugal : Segunda Liga
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Felgueiras 1932 Pacos Ferreira 10/04/2026 17:45
1.79
3.35
4.30
1 85%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Twente FC Volendam 10/04/2026 18:00
1.18
6.50
14.50
1 80%
Ov2.5
2-0 (2-0)
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eerste Divisie
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Den Bosch Cambuur 10/04/2026 18:00
2.70
3.85
2.25
1 55%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
FC Eindhoven Roda 10/04/2026 18:00
2.55
3.60
2.55
2 55%
Un3.5
1-1 (1-1)
MVV Helmond Sport 10/04/2026 18:00
2.55
3.60
2.50
1 55%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Waalwijk Emmen 10/04/2026 18:00
1.73
4.10
4.10
1 80%
Un3.5
2-0 (2-0)
France flag France : Ligue 2
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Amiens PAU 10/04/2026 18:00
2.55
3.60
2.55
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Laval Reims 10/04/2026 18:00
4.50
3.60
1.77
2 75%
Un2.5
1-0 (1-0)
Guingamp Grenoble 10/04/2026 18:00
1.70
3.75
4.75
1 80%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Annecy Montpellier 10/04/2026 18:00
2.60
3.20
2.75
2 55%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Clermont Foot Nancy 10/04/2026 18:00
2.25
2.95
3.55
1 55%
Un2.5
0-1 (0-1)
Belgium flag Belgium : Challenger Pro League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
AS Eupen Beerschot VA 10/04/2026 18:00
3.65
3.40
1.91
2 85%
Un2.5
2-1 (2-1)
Lokeren-Temse Seraing United 10/04/2026 18:00
1.95
3.45
3.50
1 80%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
England flag England : Premier League 2 Division One
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Fulham U21 Chelsea U21 10/04/2026 18:00
3.40
3.90
1.75
2 80%
Ov3.5
0-1 (0-1)
Manchester United U21 Newcastle United U21 10/04/2026 18:00
1.44
4.60
4.50
1 80%
Un3.5
0-2 (0-2)
Spain flag Spain : Segunda División
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
AD Ceuta FC Real Sociedad II 10/04/2026 18:30
2.08
3.35
3.40
1 60%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Italy flag Italy : Serie B
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Frosinone Palermo 10/04/2026 18:30
2.30
3.45
2.88
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Italy flag Italy : Serie C Girone A
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Alcione Lecco 10/04/2026 18:30
2.70
3.00
2.45
2 60%
Ov1.5
0-1 (0-1)
Argentina flag Argentina : Primera B Metropolitana
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Arsenal Sarandi Argentino de Merlo 10/04/2026 18:30
1.80
3.00
4.50
1 80%
Ov1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Liniers Flandria 10/04/2026 18:30
2.10
2.75
3.60
1 55%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
UAI Urquiza Brown DE Adrogue 10/04/2026 18:30
2.15
2.75
3.50
1 55%
Ov1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Excursionistas Talleres Remedios 10/04/2026 23:00
2.10
2.75
3.60
1 55%
Un1.5
?-?
Scotland flag Scotland : Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Queen's Park Ross County 10/04/2026 18:45
2.85
3.15
2.36
1 60%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
England flag England : League Two
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Colchester Swindon Town 10/04/2026 18:45
2.22
3.45
3.00
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Scotland flag Scotland : Football League Lowland League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hearts U21 Albion Rovers 10/04/2026 18:45
2.75
3.40
2.10
2 65%
Ov3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Ireland flag Ireland : Premier Division
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Bohemians Sligo Rovers 10/04/2026 18:45
1.36
4.55
8.90
1 75%
Ov1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Dundalk Derry City 10/04/2026 18:45
2.56
3.25
2.68
1 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Galway United Shelbourne 10/04/2026 18:45
3.05
3.20
2.34
2 55%
Ov2.5
?-?
Waterford Drogheda United 10/04/2026 18:45
2.94
3.35
2.32
2 55%
Ov2.5
?-?
St Patrick's Athl. Shamrock Rovers 10/04/2026 19:00
2.34
3.10
3.10
1 55%
Ov2.5
?-?
Ireland flag Ireland : First Division
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Finn Harps Cobh Ramblers 10/04/2026 18:45
3.05
3.40
2.24
2 55%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Kerry UCD 10/04/2026 18:45
2.90
3.10
2.48
2 60%
Un2.5
0-0 (0-0)
Treaty United Cork City 10/04/2026 18:45
6.80
4.10
1.48
2 75%
Ov2.5
?-?
Wexford Athlone Town 10/04/2026 18:45
1.87
3.30
4.30
1 80%
Ov2.5
0-0 (0-0)
England flag England : Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
West Brom Millwall 10/04/2026 19:00
2.26
3.30
3.10
1 55%
Un2.5
?-?
Spain flag Spain : Primera División RFEF Group 1
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Cacereño Athletic Club II 10/04/2026 19:15
2.75
2.95
2.50
2 55%
Un2.5
?-?
Iceland flag Iceland : Úrvalsdeild
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Vikingur Reykjavik Breidablik 10/04/2026 19:15
1.73
3.70
3.80
1 75%
Un1.5
?-?
Colombia flag Colombia : Primera A
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Deportivo Pereira Once Caldas 10/04/2026 20:30
4.10
3.50
1.84
2 70%
Ov2.5
?-?
World : CONMEBOL Nations League Women
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Peru W Uruguay W 10/04/2026 21:00
4.00
3.40
1.75
2 70%
Un3.5
?-?
Paraguay W Ecuador W 10/04/2026 23:00
2.20
3.40
2.80
1 55%
Un2.5
?-?
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Segunda División
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Paysandu Rentistas 10/04/2026 21:00
2.90
3.00
2.38
2 55%
Ov1.5
?-?
Paraguay flag Paraguay : Division Profesional Apertura
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
2 de Mayo Sportivo Ameliano 10/04/2026 21:15
2.88
3.10
2.36
2 60%
Un2.5
?-?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Guarani 10/04/2026 23:30
3.60
3.25
1.98
2 65%
Ov2.5
?-?
USA flag USA : USL Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Loudoun United Louisville City 10/04/2026 22:30
3.80
3.40
1.80
2 80%
Un3.5
?-?
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Cerro Largo Cerro 10/04/2026 23:00
2.25
2.92
3.30
1 60%
Un2.5
?-?
Brazil flag Brazil : Paulista A4
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Barretos Grêmio Sãocarlense 10/04/2026 23:00
2.55
2.95
2.75
1 55%
Ov1.5
?-?
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie B
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Criciuma Botafogo SP 10/04/2026 23:30
1.70
3.45
5.20
1 75%
Un2.5
?-?
Editorial & Statistical Review: All match analysis is reviewed by the Supatips Football Analytics Team, led by Ade Ola. Predictions represent statistical probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ only — please gamble responsibly.
AO

Written & Reviewed by

Ade Ola — Lead Football Analyst, Supatips

Ade has spent years building statistical models for football matches, with a focus on probability-led analysis over gut-feel tipster culture. He reviews every page on Supatips before publication and writes the methodology guides. Read full bio →

How Supatips Works

Every day, Supatips pulls fixture data across 100+ leagues and runs each match through a probability model that considers recent form, home and away records, attacking and defensive output, and bookmaker pricing signals. The result is a 1X2 probability split — home win, draw, away win — alongside a confidence rating and a goals-market view.

The table above shows today's 243 fixtures. Each row displays the odds, the model's preferred outcome, and a confidence percentage. Finished matches show a ✓ or ✗ marker so you can see how the picks held up. So far today, 64 of 132 settled predictions have been correct — a 48% rate on finished matches.

A higher confidence percentage means the model leans more strongly toward one outcome, not that the result is certain. Use the figures as a guide, not a guarantee.

What the Numbers Actually Mean

The odds column shows the market price for home win (1), draw (X), and away win (2). The highlighted odds box is the one the model backs. Confidence runs from roughly 33% (perfectly even three-way split) up to around 75%+ for very one-sided fixtures. A match sitting at 40–45% confidence is genuinely close — the model has a preference but not a strong one.

The goals column shows whether the model expects a high-scoring or tight game, useful for readers interested in over/under markets. You can click through to dedicated markets — Over 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score, Correct Score — for a deeper view of each fixture.

How the Model Is Built

The core of the analysis is a Poisson-based probability model calibrated on attack and defence strength for each team. It factors in home advantage, which historically adds around 0.3–0.4 goals per game at most levels. Form weighting means recent results carry more influence than older ones, and the model cross-checks its output against market pricing to flag cases where there may be value on one side.

This is not a tipping service built on opinion. The page does not pick teams based on reputation, support base, or hype. If a smaller side has the statistical edge in a given match, that is what the model shows — and that transparency is the point.

Expected Goals (xG) and Fixture Context

Where xG data is available it feeds into the model's assessment of attacking quality — a team creating 2.1 xG per game is genuinely dangerous, even if their recent scoreline looks modest. Alongside this, fixture context matters: a team rotating heavily ahead of a cup game reads differently to a full-strength side with nothing to manage.

Saving Matches and Building Your Own View

The ☆ star button next to each fixture lets you save it to My Selection. Your saved fixtures are stored in your browser so they persist across sessions. This is useful if you want to track a handful of matches through the day without scrolling back through the full table.

Other Markets Worth Exploring

The 1X2 result market is only one way to look at a fixture. Supatips also covers a range of other markets, each with its own analysis page:

A Note on Responsible Gambling

⚠️ Please take a moment to read this.

Supatips is an analytical and informational service. The predictions here are probability estimates — not financial advice, not tips from an insider, and definitely not guarantees of any result.

Football is unpredictable by nature. A 70% confidence figure still means the model is wrong roughly three times in ten. Over a long run, statistical models add structure to decision-making — but no model eliminates uncertainty.

If you choose to use these predictions alongside betting, please keep the following in mind:

  • Only stake money you are genuinely comfortable losing.
  • Set a hard budget and treat it as a fixed entertainment cost — not an investment.
  • Never chase a loss. A bad run does not mean a correction is due.
  • Take breaks. If betting stops feeling enjoyable, step back.
  • These predictions are one input — your own judgement matters too.

Free support is available if gambling is causing concern:

🔞 18+ only. Check that sports betting is legal in your country before placing any wager.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are the predictions on Supatips free?

Yes — everything on this page is free. The full fixture table, odds, confidence ratings, and goals-market data are all published without a paywall. Some additional content is available for registered users.

How often is the page updated?

The fixture table refreshes throughout the day. Scores and result markers update as matches finish, so the accuracy tracker at the top of the page reflects live data rather than just predictions made before kick-off.

What does the confidence percentage mean?

It is the model's estimated probability for the predicted outcome — the highest of the three 1X2 probabilities. A 58% confidence home win means the model puts a 58% chance on that result, with the remaining 42% split between draw and away win. It is not a certainty; it is a measure of how one-sided the model sees the fixture.

What does 180 Predictions and Stats refer to?

It describes the breadth of Supatips' match coverage — not just a single result tip per game, but analysis across multiple angles: result, goals, BTTS, HT/FT, correct score, and double chance. The idea is to give readers a fuller statistical picture of each fixture rather than one number to bet on.

How do I save matches to My Selection?

Tap the ☆ star icon on any match row. Saved fixtures move to My Selection, which stores your picks in the browser so they are still there when you come back later.

Why does the model sometimes back the underdog?

The model does not factor in team reputation, shirt colour, or public opinion — only statistical signals. If a smaller club has better recent form, a stronger defensive record, and home advantage, the numbers may favour them over a bigger name that is struggling for form. That is part of the point: the analysis tries to be honest with the data rather than follow the crowd.